Daily Bulletin

Men's Weekly

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US election: how did the polls get it so wrong?

  • Written by Mark Balnaves, Professor of Communication, University of Newcastle

Well, folks, this should be the end of industrial political polling as we know it.

Republican presidential nominee, Donald Trump began his tilt at the presidency as an outlier, and even as recently as voting day was characterised by many pollsters as the likely loser.

Now he is the US president elect, an outcome that most mainstream observers...

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Trump defies expectations and takes the White House on a wave of populism

  • Written by Pippa Norris, ARC Laureate Fellow, Professor of Government and International Relations at the University of Sydney and McGuire Lecturer in Comparative Politics, Harvard University

Election night in America has been stunning. The outcome may be catastrophic and transformative for America and the world. The pundits and pollsters consistently reported throughout the long, long US campaign that Hillary Clinton was in the lead in the popular vote, estimated across the average of most national polls.

A Clinton victory had seemed...

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President Trump will change the United States and the world, but just how remains to be seen

  • Written by Mark Chou, Associate Professor of Politics, Australian Catholic University

Leading Australian academics respond to Donald Trump’s victory, and look ahead to what kind of president he might be.

Much unknown about Trump’s foreign policy, but expect instability

Gorana Grgic, lecturer in US politics and foreign policy, University of Sydney

This result confirms that 2016 is a year of tectonic shifts in politics of...

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The markets tell us President Trump is worse than Brexit

  • Written by Saul Eslake, Vice-Chancellor’s Fellow, University of Tasmania

Donald Trump has emerged as the winner in the US Presidential election, but even before the result was clear the prospect came as a profound shock to financial markets.

As I wrote last month, financial markets had for the most part priced a victory by Hillary Clinton - just as they had priced a vote to remain (in the European Union) by British...

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More Articles ...

  1. Trump the demagogue looks set to rule
  2. Vital Signs: it's a Trumptastrophe
  3. Why all the super buzz about the supermoon?
  4. Why hundreds of thousands of Muslims rallied against the Jakarta governor
  5. Self control, the harms of pot, and fat genes: how the 44-year-old Dunedin study keeps on giving
  6. Election day arrives and the stakes are high, not just for the US but the world
  7. Timeline: Americans, the economy and elections
  8. Business Briefing: what Australia can learn from a Polish economist
  9. Australia failing to safeguard cultural connections for Aboriginal children in out-of-home care
  10. Radical overhaul needed to halt Earth’s sixth great extinction event
  11. The lessons we need to learn to deal with the 'creeping disaster' of drought
  12. Scientists ponder the evolutionary urge to create - but where are the women?
  13. Why we're more likely to date someone who has an ex
  14. Tougher action needed in the fight against scientific fraud
  15. Advertising is driving social media-fuelled fake news and it is here to stay
  16. Senate report calls for disallowance of Brandis's direction to Solicitor-General
  17. Inquiry opens way for changing Section 18C and the Human Rights Commission too
  18. Politics podcast: Julian Leeser on section 18C of the Racial Discrimination Act
  19. Equity crowdfunding requires a rethink on company structure
  20. Do we care about old people behind bars, and should we?
  21. With its corruption crackdown, China is also stamping out innovation
  22. The plebiscite is dead, but the quest for marriage equality lives on
  23. Fifty standout articles in The Conversation's 2016 Yearbook
  24. Australian law needs a refresher on the science of HIV transmission
  25. Kids who watch porn won't necessarily turn into sex offenders
  26. Explainer: why an Australian trade deal with the UK could take a decade
  27. Growing inequality in the US is bad news for climate change
  28. Planning for a rainy day: there's still lots to learn about Australia's flood patterns
  29. Natural disasters are affecting some of Australia's most disadvantaged communities
  30. Despite business' best efforts whistleblowers still lack protection under Australian law: new research
  31. What’s gender solidarity got to do with it? Woman shaming and Hillary Clinton
  32. Can private security companies improve responses to victims of family violence?
  33. Should family members of those with mental illness have access to their health information?
  34. Expansion is no longer the answer to improving the Australian education system
  35. Senate kills plebiscite, leaving same-sex marriage on indefinite hold
  36. Under President Trump the misinformed citizen will reign supreme
  37. Intelligence agencies to be scrutinised
  38. How Jakarta's first Chinese Indonesian governor became an easy target for radical Islamic groups
  39. Hanson backs sending her senator to the High Court
  40. Community organisations lack the funding and data to measure their impact
  41. US Election Day predictions: President, Governors, Senate and House of Representatives
  42. Human Rights Commission takes on Turnbull
  43. Hope and aspiration at the National Architecture Awards
  44. European leaders taking cues from Australia on asylum seeker policies
  45. Health Check: why do we get a stitch and how can we stop it?
  46. Explainer: what are antibodies and why are viruses like dengue worse the second time?
  47. For single parents, it pays to work
  48. 2015's record-breaking temperatures will be normal by 2030 - it's time to adapt
  49. The evidence of early human life in Australia's arid interior
  50. Obama, Trump, Clinton and the affordances of distance
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