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Mon May 20

Labor's election loss was not a surprise if you take historical trends into account

Written by Sarah Cameron, Research Fellow, University of Sydney

If Labor had won on Saturday, Bill Shorten would have been the least popular party leader ever elected prime minister, according to election data.Lukas Coch/AAP

Polls had predicted a narrow win for Labor in this election, so what explains the Coalition victory? Data from the Australian Election Study (AES), based on public opinion surveys conducted...

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