OctaFX: Malaysia's annual inflation may fall for the fifth month in a row
KUALA LUMPUR, MALAYSIA - Media OutReach - 24 August 2023 - The Department of Statistics will release monthly inflation data in Malaysia on 25 August. Annual inflation is expected to decline to 2.1% in July.
According to official data released last month, Malaysia's annual inflation rate slowed to 2.4% in June 2023 from 2.8% in May. Lower inflation rates were recorded in food and non-alcoholic beverages, transportation, and miscellaneous goods and services.
Overall, inflation in Malaysia was lower compared to neighbouring regions, with June inflation in Indonesia, the Philippines, and Singapore at 3.5%, 5.4%, and 4.5%, respectively.
Malaysia's economic growth is projected to end the year near the lower end of the 4.0%–5.0% range, contributing to a decline in annual inflation in the second half of 2023.
According to Kar Yong Ang, the OctaFX financial market analyst, annual inflation will drop further in July, the fifth consecutive month of decline. Such a decline cannot be ignored by BNM, which will have to signal a weakening of monetary policy or revise the annual inflation forecast.
'BNM will likely choose to revise the annual inflation forecast slightly downwards. Even if the regulator does not do so, the local currency still tends to appreciate due to the continued growth of the Malaysian economy,' said Kar Yong Ang. 'With domestic demand picking up amid improving employment and falling inflation, the ringgit might appreciate, with USDMYR falling towards 4.520 and possibly lower.'
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OctaFX is an international broker that has been providing online trading services worldwide since 2011. It offers commission-free access to financial markets and various services already utilised by clients from 180 countries who have opened more than 42 million trading accounts. Free educational webinars, articles, and analytical tools they provide help clients reach their investment goals.
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In the APAC region, OctaFX captured the ‘Best Forex Broker Malaysia 2022’ and the ‘Best Global Broker Asia 2022’ awards from Global Banking and Finance Review and International Business Magazine, respectively.
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