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Please, no more projections. What we need are predictions, and they're harder

  • Written by: John Quiggin, Professor, School of Economics, The University of Queensland
Please, no more projections. What we need are predictions, and they're harderProjections are often be repeatedly wrong. That's because the models don't learn from mistakes.Shutterstock

It is difficult to make predictions, especially about the future. (attributed to Danish physicist Niels Bohr)

The difficulty of making predictions has long been known, but the rise of the internet means that it is getting harder to hide the...

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Green cement a step closer to being a game-changer for construction emissions

  • Written by: Yixia (Sarah) Zhang, Associate Professor of Engineering, Western Sydney University
Green cement a step closer to being a game-changer for construction emissionsIf the cement industry were a country, it would be the [third-largest emitter of CO₂ in the world](https://www.carbonbrief.org/qa-why-cement-emissions-matter-for-climate-change).Joe Mabel/Wikimedia, CC BY-SA

Concrete is the most widely used man-made material, commonly used in buildings, roads, bridges and industrial plants. But producing the...

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Leaked documents on Uighur detention camps in China – an expert explains the key revelations

  • Written by: Michael Clarke, Associate Professor, National Security College, Australian National University
Leaked documents on Uighur detention camps in China – an expert explains the key revelationsOmer Bekali, a former detainee in China's vast camps for Uighurs, Kazakhs and other Muslim minorities, speaking to a news conference in Germany about his experiences. Felipe Trueba/EPA

This past weekend, The New York Times’ China correspondents, Chris Buckley and Austin Ramzy, published an expose of over 400 internal Chinese government...

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Humans light 85% of bushfires, and we do virtually nothing to stop it

  • Written by: Janet Stanley, Associate professor/Principal Research Fellow, Melbourne Sustainable Society Institute, University of Melbourne

It’s hard to comprehend why someone would deliberately light a bushfire. Yet this behaviour regularly occurs in Australia and other countries. We would go a long way to preventing bushfires if we better understood this troubling phenomenon.

Experts estimate about 85% of bushfires are caused by humans. A person may accidentally or carelessly...

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More Articles …

  1. Paul Keating attacks media for 'pious belchings' over China
  2. What are parasites and how do they make us sick?
  3. Turn down for what? Why you turn down the radio when you're trying to park your car
  4. Chat bots, James Dean ... can the digital dead rest in peace?
  5. Domestic violence will spike in the bushfire aftermath, and governments can no longer ignore it
  6. An 8-year-old made US$22 million on YouTube, but most social media influencers are like unpaid interns
  7. Making sense of menopausal hormone therapy means understanding the benefits as well as the risks
  8. Re-imagining a museum of our First Nations
  9. greenspace-oriented development could make higher density attractive
  10. Children learn through play – it shouldn’t stop at preschool
  11. The main problem with virtual reality? It's almost as humdrum as real life
  12. Chinese embassy says Liberal critics Hastie and Paterson should "repent"
  13. Michelle Grattan on the government's response to the bushfires
  14. Conditions built into Frydenberg's okay for Chinese baby formula takeover
  15. why Sweden's central bank dumped Australian bonds
  16. celebrate with us and grab your discounted copy
  17. will banning illegal offshore sites really help kick our gambling habit?
  18. Stop the world, I want to get off! In Exit Strategies, one woman leaves and leaves again
  19. will the country see a return to strongman politics?
  20. Is social media damaging to children and teens? We asked five experts
  21. controlled burns often fail to slow a bushfire
  22. Vital Signs. Might straight down the middle be the source of our economic success?
  23. Friday essay: shaved, shaped and slit
  24. Research funding announcements have become a political tool, creating crippling uncertainty for academics
  25. New research shows Chinese migrants don't always side with China and are happy to promote Australia
  26. Public places through kids' eyes – what do they value?
  27. Is your teen off to schoolies? Here's what to say instead of freaking out
  28. Australia must engage with nuclear research or fall far behind
  29. When the firies call him out on climate change, Scott Morrison should listen
  30. how holograms and other tech could help outsmart bushfires
  31. Alison Croggon and the arts critic as an endangered species
  32. Minister David Littleproud on bushfires, drought, and the Nationals
  33. How we plan for animals in emergencies
  34. If Dr Google's making you sick with worry, there's help
  35. the $85 million plan to desalinate water for drought relief
  36. Why do many people with Parkinson's disease develop an addiction? We built a virtual casino to find out
  37. how sexbots are marketed as companions
  38. 12 simple ways you can reduce bushfire risk to older homes
  39. how we use music to make ourselves feel at home
  40. ancient Egyptians tamed wild ibis for sacrifice
  41. the ABC's complex debate over its role as sports broadcaster
  42. How does poor air quality from bushfire smoke affect our health?
  43. here are 5 steps to help them cope
  44. how Australian bushfire writing has changed with the climate
  45. getting to the bottom of the city-country divide
  46. If Australian police officers are allowed to shoot to kill, they should be better trained
  47. Why municipal waste-to-energy incineration is not the answer to NZ's plastic waste crisis
  48. the cum-ex trading scandal and why it matters
  49. What did the High Court decide in the Pell case? And what happens now?
  50. As flames encroach, those at risk may lose phone signal when they need it most

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The Business Case for Choosing Australian Fabricators Over Imported Alternatives

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The Daily Magazine

GRC Consulting and Cyber Security Consulting for Businesses

Businesses face risks such as ransomware attacks, data breaches, violations of regulatory standards ...

How to Set a Budget Before Bidding at Auction

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Does a Modern James Bond Exist?

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