Daily Bulletin

The Conversation

  • Written by Adrian Beaumont, Honorary Associate, School of Mathematics and Statistics, University of Melbourne

The Western Australian election will be held on 11 March 2017. A ReachTEL poll, conducted Thursday night from a sample of 1790, has Labor leading by 52-48, a 1 point gain for Labor since mid-September.

Primary votes are 42.0% for the combined Liberals and Nationals (down 1.6), 36.7% for Labor (up 0.2) and 7.7% for the Greens (down 0.8). The changes in these primaries are from a poll that had an undecided component, and there may also be an undecided component in this poll.

Opposition leader Mark McGowan led Premier Colin Barnett 56-44 as better Premier, up from 54-46 in September. ReachTEL’s forced choice better PM/Premier questions are far more favourable to opposition leaders than polls with an uncommitted option, such as Newspoll.

An additional question about the proposed privatisation of Western Power found that 56% were opposed and only 24% in favour. Voters are usually anti-privatisation, but that issue alone will not cost the conservatives the election.

The WA government has had two four year terms, so there is probably a “time for a change” factor. In addition, the Federal Coalition government is unpopular, and this will make life tough for all conservative state parties.

Authors: Adrian Beaumont, Honorary Associate, School of Mathematics and Statistics, University of Melbourne

Read more http://theconversation.com/wa-reachtel-labor-leads-52-48-67927

Writers Wanted

Abused, neglected, abandoned — did Roald Dahl hate children as much as the witches did?


Tips to find the best plastic manufacturing supplier for your needs


To publish or not to publish? The media's free-speech dilemmas in a world of division, violence and extremism


The Conversation


Ray Hadley's interview with Scott Morrison

RAY HADLEY: Prime Minister, good morning.    PRIME MINISTER: G’day Ray.   HADLEY: I was just referring to this story from the Courier Mail, which you’ve probably caught up with today about t...

Ray Hadley & Scott Morrison - avatar Ray Hadley & Scott Morrison

Prime Minister's Remarks to Joint Party Room

PRIME MINISTER: Well, it is great to be back in the party room, the joint party room. It’s great to have everybody back here. It’s great to officially welcome Garth who joins us. Welcome, Garth...

Scott Morrison - avatar Scott Morrison

Prime Minister Interview with Ben Fordham, 2GB

BEN FORDHAM: Scott Morrison, good morning to you.    PRIME MINISTER: Good morning, Ben. How are you?    FORDHAM: Good. How many days have you got to go?   PRIME MINISTER: I've got another we...

Scott Morrison - avatar Scott Morrison

Business News

Tips to find the best plastic manufacturing supplier for your needs

Plastics are very much an important part of all of our lives, but they’re particularly valuable to a wide variety of industries that rely on their production for their operations. The industries, ...

News Co - avatar News Co

7 foolproof tips for bidding successfully at a property auction

Auctions can be beneficial for prospective buyers, as they are transparent and fair. If you reach the limit you are willing to pay, you can simply walk away. Another benefit of an auction is tha...

Dominique Grubisa - avatar Dominique Grubisa

Getting Ready to Code? These Popular and Easy Programming Languages Can Get You Started

According to HOLP (History Encyclopedia of Programing Languages), there are more than 8,000 programming languages, some dating as far back as the 18th century. Although there might be as many pr...

News Co - avatar News Co

News Co Media Group

Content & Technology Connecting Global Audiences

More Information - Less Opinion