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Sat Jun 22

Difficult for Labor to win in 2022 using new pendulum, plus Senate and House preference flows

Written by Adrian Beaumont, Honorary Associate, School of Mathematics and Statistics, University of Melbourne

Unless Labor improves markedly with the lower-educated, they risk losing the seat count while winning the popular vote at the next election. AAP/Dan Peled

Australian elections have been won in outer metropolitan and regional electorates, but Labor did badly in swing terms in those types of seats at the May 18 election. In inner metropolitan...

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